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  Academy Award for Film Editing Prediction: "The Bourne Ultimatum"  
 
     
 
   
  Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film Prediction: "Madame Tutli-Putli"  
 
     
 
   
  Academy Award for Best Live-Action Short Film Prediction: "Tanghi Argentini"  
 
     
 
   
  Academy Award for Best Foreign Language Film Prediction: "Katyn," Poland  
 
     
 
   
  Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay Prediction: Ronald Harwood, "The Diving Bell and the Butterfly"  
 
     
 
   
  Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay Prediction: Diablo Cody, "Juno"  
 
     
FILM THREAT'S 2008 ACADEMY AWARDS PREDICTIONS
by Mark Bell
We're under 7 days from knowing who took home the 2008 Academy Awards, so what better time then now to get in our predictions? Starting with the small and ending with the big six, here's Film Threat's predictions for the 2008 Academy Awards...

In the category of Documentary (short subject), the nominees are:
Freeheld
La Corona (The Crown)
Salim Baba
Sari’s Mother

And Film Threat predicts...
Sari's Mother: Topically relevant, touching and politically damning, "Sari's Mother" should offer up the perfect opportunity to honor a film deserving of the award, and give a big Hollywood "fuck you" to those that put us in Iraq in the first place.

In the category of Film Editing, the nominees are:
The Bourne Ultimatum
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

And Film Threat predicts...
The Bourne Ultimatum: If you can make frenetic action sequences make sense in editing, you've got a bit of a leg up on the more deliberately paced of the remaining nominees.

In the category of Makeup, the nominees are:
La Vie en Rose
Norbit
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End

And Film Threat predicts...
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End: This should be a no-brainer, just look at half the extras in "Pirates..." and the award is a given, but part of me really wants to see "Norbit" win just so we can find out of the Apocalypse is truly upon us (a box office success AND an Academy Award... who wants to live in a world where THAT happens).

In the category of Animated Short Film, the nominees are:
I Met the Walrus
Madame Tutli-Putli
Meme Les Pigeons Vont au Paradis (Even Pigeons Go to Heaven)
My Love (Moya Lyubov)
Peter & the Wolf

And Film Threat predicts...
Madame Tutli-Putli: I met one of the animators for this film on a shuttle during Sundance, and his spent the better part of twenty minutes praising the film up and down, including its revolutionary techniques. Oddly enough, he wasn't full of shit, so this prediction is more for a hopeful feather in his cap.

In the category of Live Action Short Film, the nominees are:
At Night
Il Supplente (The Substitute)
Le Mozart des Pickpockets (The Mozart of Pickpockets)
Tanghi Argentini
The Tonto Woman

And Film Threat predicts...
Tanghi Argentini: The rest of the films are too heavy for their own good, "Tanghi Argentini" at least comes to the group with a strong sense of humor (and the Oscars NEED for more comedy).

In the category of Best Foreign Language Film, the nominees are:
Beaufort, Israel
The Counterfeiters, Austria
Katyn, Poland
Mongol, Kazakhstan
12, Russia

And Film Threat predicts...
Katyn, Poland: Poland has been to the Oscar dance 7 times prior without a win, so there's got to be a mercy rule invoked eventually, right? Is "Katyn" the one that puts Poland over the top? We sure as Hell hope so...

In the category of Best Adapted Screenplay, the nominees are:
Christopher Hampton, Atonement
Sarah Polley, Away from Her
Ronald Harwood, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Joel Coen & Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood

And Film Threat predicts...
Ronald Harwood, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly: None are undeserving, and "No Country..." and "There Will Be Blood" may seem like frontrunners here, but the former had a confusing ending that left a poor taste in quite a few peoples' mouths (true to adaptation or no), and the latter was more inspired by the original material then a real translation. "The Diving Bell and the Butterfly," however, took an almost impossible story and translated it brilliantly across the board.

In the category of Best Original Screenplay, the nominees are:
Diablo Cody, Juno
Nancy Oliver, Lars and the Real Girl
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Brad Bird, Jan Pinkava and Jim Capobianco, Ratatouille
Tamara Jenkins, The Savages

And Film Threat predicts...
Diablo Cody, Juno: Silencio, naysayers! Let "Juno" have its day in the over-hyped sun so that we can all move on. The only thing worse than the slight problems with the dialogue in "Juno" are the people who think it's charming to make constant fun of the slight problems with the dialogue.

There's more nominees to come in Part Two of Film Threat's 2008 Academy Awards Predictions>>>

 
 
   
FelixVasquez
STAFF WRITER
 
"The only thing worse than the slight problems with the dialogue in "Juno" are the people who think it's charming to make constant fun of the slight problems with the dialogue." Especially since Tarantino has the same self-awareness and smug diatribes and gets no slack. "Juno" deserves it.  
Posted on February 18, 2008, 12:04 am
Phil Hall
STAFF WRITER
 
I would put my money on "Beaufort" for Best Foreign-Language Film. No Israeli film ever won the Oscar, and I believe this is their seventh attempt at Oscar gold, ntoo.  
Posted on February 18, 2008, 3:26 am
Matthew Sorrento
STAFF WRITER
 
Sorry, Mark -- have a naysayer here. Felix, you have an interesting comparison between Juno and Pulp (and I see that Ebert liked it too). But you have to remember that Pulp is a crime pick with some self-aware chats peppered in it that work well. Juno is a drama, a film that relies much more on its dialogue, which is artificial throughout and reminds viewers that Juno herself is a screenwriter's puppet, a little stand-up comedian in search of character depth. In a way, I want to give credit to Page for making the contrivance work as well as it did – and Cera, Gardner, and Bateman are all great. The flaw is a real shame, 'cause it sinks the film when there's a lot of great things going on in Juno.  
Posted on February 18, 2008, 5:54 am
Michael Ferraro
STAFF WRITER
 
When Tarantino does it, it's not with 16 year-old white girls living in suburbia.  
Posted on February 18, 2008, 6:13 am
FelixVasquez
STAFF WRITER
 
Rationalizing, people, rationalizing. "Pulp" features some of the most self-aware, smug, and hipper than thou dialogue and exchanges I've ever heard. The age thing is nothing more than exception. The dialogue in "Juno" was self-aware, granted, but not nearly as bad as "Pulp" or "Clerks." I'm not hearing that.  
Posted on February 18, 2008, 6:46 am
Matthew Sorrento
STAFF WRITER
 
Felix, I hear what you are saying, but with Clerks and Pulp, we're talking films that aren't hiding their love for goofy comedy. Juno attempts to be profound and perceptive with contrived chatter. I call it "Garden State" disease -- may Braff never stray from Scrubs again! On another note, great call for Harwood on best adapted screenplay, Mark. He should add one to his statuette for The Pianist, since Diving Bell was one hell of a feat of adaptation.  
Posted on February 18, 2008, 6:57 am
FelixVasquez
STAFF WRITER
 
I'm not sure I particularly buy that, but fair enough.  
Posted on February 18, 2008, 8:51 am
Pete Vonder Haar
STAFF WRITER
 
Don't sell "Juno" short, Felix. There's plenty more to make fun of than "slight problems with the dialogue."  
Posted on February 18, 2008, 10:26 am
FelixVasquez
STAFF WRITER
 
Pfft, haha, nice. Very well, Pete, if you say so. Nah, "Juno" is a well deserved Oscar nod. Granted, it doesn't stand a chance to win best picture, but nonetheless, STILL one of my favorites of 2007.  
Posted on February 18, 2008, 10:31 am
FelixVasquez
STAFF WRITER
 
And please, for my sake, if you have to criticize the movie, don't rely on the old pointless sanctimonious arguments of "It's pro Life!" and "It dodges the issue of abortion!" I've seen too much of that hogwash. That's like asking "Why didn't Harold and Kumar discuss the issue of drug control?" Ugh.  
Posted on February 18, 2008, 10:34 am
Matthew Sorrento
STAFF WRITER
 
I agree about the "anti-abortion" remarks, Felix. These critics have to realize that being pro-choice means giving everyone the right to choose yes or no, and Juno is just about a teenager who chose to have her baby. Seems to me that the film is pro-choice, in that regard. (And I don't mean to get political on an Oscar comment.)  
Posted on February 18, 2008, 4:05 pm
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